Dynamics of the exchange rate in Tunisia

Author(s)

Rabia najaf ,

Download Full PDF Pages: 33-39 | Views: 728 | Downloads: 188 | DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.3442066

Volume 6 - January 2017 (01)

Abstract

This paper analyzed the association between macroeconomic variables and volatility of Tunisia stock exchange .We have taken data from 1993 to 2012 and applied the Pearson s correlation test. Our results are showing that there is always association between macroeconomic variables and stock market of Tunisia. Now a day, it is seen that exchange rate is appearing as the strategic variable .Exchange rate is the way of the express the price of one country s currency in terms of another currency .Thus, with the help of exchange rate can be determined prices of all foreign and local goods

Keywords

macroeconomic variables, volatility, Tunisia stock market, Pearson s correlation

References

i.        Due, P., Sen, P.          (2006). Capital flow Volatility and Exchange Rates: The Case of India, Central for Development Economics, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics. (Working Paper No. 144).

ii.      Edwards,  S. (2001).  Exchange  Rate  Regimes,  Capital  Inflows  and  Crisis  Prevention,  NBER  and University of California (Working Paper).

iii.    Harberger,  A. (2004).  Economic  Adjustment  and  the  Real  Exchange  Rate,  in  S.  Edwards  and L.Ahamed     (eds.).   Economic   Adjustment   Exchange   Rates   in   Developing   Countries,   University of Chicago Press, 10, 308-321.

iv.     Hoffman, M.E.S. (2005). The Exchange Rate and the Trade Deficit: What’s the Relationship? June 2005. Available at: http://people.duke.edu/~meh13/exchangerate-tradedeficit.pdf

v.       Husain, A.M., Mody, A., Rogoff, K.S.,   (2009). Exchange Rate Regime Durability  and Performance in Developing Versus Advanced Economies, Journal of Monetary Economics, 52(1), 35-64.

vi.     Meese, R., Rogoff, K. (2004). The Out-of-Sample Failure of Empirical Exchange Rate Models: Sampling Error or Misspecification?, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. (p. 67-112).

vii.   Simon W.L.S. (2005). Is  There  Life Outside the ERM?  An Evaluation of the Effects of Sterling's Devaluation on the UK Economy, International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2,199-216

viii. Taylor, L. (2001). Argentina: A Poster Child for Failure of Liberalised Policies? Challenge/November-December. 44, 6, 28-44.

ix.     Rabia Najaf, Khakan Najaf (2016). DYNAMICS OF THE EXCHANGE RATE IN MALAYSIA, vol:1, No :2,2016 Page 104, International Journal of Academic Research in Management and Business.

x.       Naeem,   M.,   &   Abdul,   R. (2002).   Stock   Prices   and   Exchange   Rates:   Are   they   related? Evidence  from  South  Asian  Countries.  Department  Economics  &  Finance,  Institute  of  Business .Administration, Karachi.

xi.     Bekhet, H. A. & Mugableh, M. I. (2012). Investigating Equilibrium Relationship between MacroeconomicVariables and Malaysian Stock Market Index through Bounds Tests Approach. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 4(10), 69-81.

xii.   Eita, J. H. (2012). Modeling Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Prices: Evidence from Namibia.Journal of Applied Business Research, 28(5), 871-884.

xiii. Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance,25(2), 383-417.

xiv. Fama, E. F. (1991). Efficient Capital Markets: II. The Journal of Finance, 46(5), 1575-1617.

xv.   Fathi, S., Sameti, M., Nouri, B. A. & Esfahani, S. S. (2012). Examining the Effect of Selective MacroeconomicVariables on the Stock Exchange's Depth and Breadth (Case Study: Tehran Stock Exchange). Internation.Journal of Economics and Finance, 4(3), 97-104.

xvi. Hsing, Y., Budden, M. C. & Phillips, A. S. (2012). Macroeconomic Determinants of the Stock Market Index for
a Major Latin American Country and Policy Implications. Business and Economic Research, 2(1).

xvii.                    Hussin, M. Y. M., Muhammad, F., Abu, M. F. & Awang, S. A. (2012). Macroeconomic Variables and MalaysianIslamic Stock Market: A Time Series Analysis. Journal of Business Studies Quarterly, 3(4), 1-13.

xviii.                  Kyereboah-Coleman, A. & Agyire-Tettey, K. F. (2008). Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators on Stock MarketPerformance. The Journal of Risk Finance, 9(4), 365-378.

xix. Lee, C. L., Boon, T. H. & Baharumshah, A. Z. (2001). The Stock Market, Macroeconomic Fundamentals andEconomic Growth in Malaysia. Asia Pacific Journal of Economics and Business, 5(2), 44-55.

xx.   MacDonald, R. & Ricci, L. (2003). Estimation of the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate for South Africa, IMFWorking Paper WP/03/44.

xxi. Majid, M. S. A. & Yusof, R. M. (2009). Long-run Relationship Between Islamic Stock Returns and
Macroeconomic Variables. Humanomics, 25(2), 127-141.

xxii.                    Mehr-un-Nisa, L. & Nishat, M. (2011). The Determinants of Stock Prices in Pakistan. Asian Economic andFinancial Review, 1(4), 276-291.

xxiii.                  Muhammad, J., Ghuslan, M. I. & Jusoff, K. (2009). Long Run Relationship between Malaysian Stock Market
and Agriculture Sector. Interdisciplinary Journal of Contemporary Research in Business, 1(6), 157-171.

xxiv.                  Rahman, A. A., Sidek, N. Z. M. & Tafri, F. H. (2009). Macroeconomic Determinants of Malaysian Stock Market.African Journal of Business Management, 3(3), 095-106.

Cite this Article: